Sports Trading

Betfair Trading Strategy

Betfair Trading Strategy

I seem to purchase on a regular basis from ebay any new Betfair Trading Strategy in the hope of discovering a Betfair Trading Strategy that is the ‘holy grail’ of Betfair Trading Strategies!

Purchasing these Betfair Trading Strategy guides I suppose you could compare it to obtaining a Betfair Trading school type education.

With most Betfair Trading guides, you can like with any other education, glean useful information that you later go on to use. There’s also alot of trial and error involved.

With this in mind and using my usual guide of not purchasing a Betfair Trading Strategy from an ebay seller with less than 100 user feed backs, I yesterday purchased another Betfair Trading Strategy guide from a seller named hanoverowl.

I am yet to receive this Betfair Trading Strategy guide, but when I do, I shall keep a public record of it’s results in regular posts and updates with results.

I look forward to receiving this betting strategy guide, as to call it a Betfair strategy guide may be a little unfair, as it doesn’t mention it being restricted to Betfair users, but I imagine it is usuable on many betting sites.

If you want to check out this football betting strategy guide, click the following link;

Betfair Trading Strategy

Betfair Trading Strategy

1 comment - What do you think?
Posted by FootballTrader - May 23, 2012 at 10:09 am

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Football Statistics

Football Statistics

Football statistics are probably what the famous quote “Lies, Damn Lies and Statistics” was meant for, but sometimes it’s worth checking to ensure that your ‘gut feeling’ is in fact correct.

The site / software I find myself using the most (although I did only discover it late in the 2011 / 12 season) is provided by Soccer Stats Tracker. The software downloads on to your desktop and can give you all manner of information and historic statistics on football leagues / teams worldwide.

Soccer stats tracker is (surprisingly) free and will assist you in obtaining statistics on most Football leagues worldwide.

It just might be the thing you’re looking for, if you find yourself wanting to get the following kind of information / football stats or anwers to a multitude of other football statistic information;

  • Where can I get stats on half time results?
  • Where can I get stats on Under’s?
  • Where can I get stats on Over’s?
  • I need to know what percentage of games are draw at half time?
  • What percentage of games are under in England Premiership, in 1st division …Conference…Scotland 3rd division …Italy C1A…FranceD2…Denmark…Sweden…Russia…Brazil…Argentina… check the full list here
  • Is it true that in France D2 most of the teams play Under?
  • What other leagues have tendency to Under ?
  • Which teams in Europe are in their best form ?
  • What are the most offensive teams in Europe?
  • What are the most defensive teams in Europe?
  • Are there any teams that play often double chance 12 (Non draw)?
  • Are there any teams that score more goals in the first half rather the second?
  • I like to know which teams play 1-1 ( Half Time / Full Time ) ?
  • I like to know which teams play 2-2 ( Half Time / Full Time ) ?
  • Are there any teams that play often 0-1 total goals ?
  • Are there any teams that play 2-3 total goals recently ? (in the last 6 games )
  • Are there any teams that play 4+ total goals?
  • What’s the Home advantages in England ?
  • What’s the Home advantages in Italy ?

If you like to know the answers to these questions then you’re on the right place. Soccer Stats Tracker have answers to all statistical questions about all betting games that are based on Half Time / Full Time score.

The football statistics software is manually updated several times per week, so I imagine that the information comes from a variety of football statistic hubs and then collated in one handy to use piece of software.

For me I use it when deciding on whether to back a ‘draw’ on teams that provide the best ‘value’ in the daily in-play football coupon list. I don’t usually back the draw for the whole match – just for the first 20 or so minutes, but this method usually provides me with money to have a ‘free’ bet with on the match and using the Soccer Stats Tracker I can back up my gut feeling.

There are other sites that I use to get fooball statistics, but this piece of software is worth it’s weight in gold and is worth taking the time to get to understand.

Football Statistics

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Posted by FootballTrader - May 14, 2012 at 3:56 pm

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BETDAQ Commission Free Football Trades

BETDAQ Commission Free Football Trades

BETDAQ are currently running commission free bets on the following up and coming matches over the next few days.

If you haven’t already got a BETDAQ account then click BETDAQ and you will get a free £30 or 30 Euro bet when you sign up. Of course it would probably be best to use this £30 bet as a trade and perhaps match it with a bet or trade at another site on the opposing team – as long as you can get reasonable enough odds; that way you’d win whatever the outcome!

Blackburn v Wigan
Back Wigan to win commission free at 2.97*.
BETDAQ terms and conditions apply. BETDAQ will refund commission on all markets in the Blackburn v Wigan Premier League match on Monday 20.00 Sky Sports 1, if Wigan win the match. *Odds quoted subject to change on our exchange. Commission refund will be into accounts which have met all qualifying conditions within 72 hours. API customers not permitted to avail of the promotion. Bets placed through BETDAQ 1Bet do not qualify. Offer does not apply to Multiples betting. Minimum qualifying refund €/£1. Maximum refund €/£300. BETDAQ reserves the right to terminate this promotion at any time. BETDAQ reserves the right to exclude any entrant from such promotions. BETDAQ reserves the right to amend these Terms and Conditions at any stage.

Newcastle v Man City
Back 4 or More Goals to be scored in this match commission free at 3.0*.
BETDAQ terms and conditions apply. BETDAQ will refund commission on all markets in the Newcastle v Man City Premier League match on Sunday 13.30 Sky Sports 1, if 4 or more goals are scored in this match. *Odds quoted subject to change on our exchange. Commission refund will be into accounts which have met all qualifying conditions within 72 hours. API customers not permitted to avail of the promotion. Bets placed through BETDAQ 1Bet do not qualify. Offer does not apply to Multiples betting. Minimum qualifying refund €/£1. Maximum refund €/£300. BETDAQ reserves the right to terminate this promotion at any time. BETDAQ reserves the right to exclude any entrant from such promotions. BETDAQ reserves the right to amend these Terms and Conditions at any stage.

Chelsea v Liverpool
Back Liverpool to win the FA Cup Final commission free at 3.15*.
BETDAQ terms and conditions apply. BETDAQ will refund commission on all markets in the Chelsea v Liverpool FA Cup Final match on Saturday 17.15 ITV1, if Liverpool win the match. *Odds quoted subject to change on our exchange. Commission refund will include markets if extra time and penalties are played.  Commission refund will be into accounts which have met all qualifying conditions within 72 hours. Commission refund will not include the FA Cup outright market. API customers not permitted to avail of the promotion. Bets placed through BETDAQ 1Bet do not qualify. Offer does not apply to Multiples betting. Minimum qualifying refund €/£1. Maximum refund €/£300. BETDAQ reserves the right to terminate this promotion at any time. BETDAQ reserves the right to exclude any entrant from such promotions. BETDAQ reserves the right to amend these Terms and Conditions at any stage.

BETDAQ Commission Free Football Trades

1 comment - What do you think?
Posted by FootballTrader - May 4, 2012 at 1:31 pm

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Sports Trading Diary Entry 11 030412

Sports Trading Diary Entry 11 030412

It’s been a week since I updated my sports trading diary and I’ve been football trading every day since my last entry. To read today’s football trading diary entry see below, but first;

I started sports trading (mainly football matches) on Bet Fair at the beginning of February 2012.

Follow my progress in my daily (almost!) updated sports trading diary entries.

Firstly though, I missed out on a fabulous offer for new sports traders to get a free £25 bet – the first time they start sports trading on Bet Fair. So to make sure you don’t miss out on this wonderful offer;

Claim a risk free £25 free bet at Bet Fair, click Bet Fair £25 bet. Make sure when you join the site, that you use or see the code HU4XE6MTR in the relevant voucher area to get your risk free £25 bet.

If HU4XE6MTR doesn’t show in the relevant box when you are filling in the joining page, you might not get your £25 free bet and that would be a shame to miss eh?

Today’s sports trading diary entry comes with an admission of falling back into my old gambling ways, being too clever, tweaking / messing with a winning sports trading strategy and not sticking with a football trading strategy that worked.

On the 23rd of March I posted an entry titled Best Day Football Trading So Far 23/03/2012 and I am ashamed to say that this last week I have lost all my football trading profits and am back to square one – at the same position that I started the day off with on the 23rd of March and I can’t even pretend that I transferred the balance from BetFair back to my bank account.

If my wife was reading this football trading diary entry after knowing how well I was doing for about 10 days before tweaking the system that was providing positive results, she’d give me a right telling off.

A week or so ago I was full of optimism, football trading was going to provide me with a reasonable additional daily income – I couldn’t seem to fail, every day was a profitable day football trading wise and I was almost at an eureka point… Then I decided to fine tune my football trading strategy with disastrous results!

With the football trading strategy I employ, I could trade the same match several times in-play depending on what was happening in the match. You don’t need to be a genius to work out that this basically is reliant on goals (or lack of them) being scored – that is after all the aim of the football match.

The problem being is that I was winning my trades so often I decided to throw caution to the wind and leave (if I had any open at the time) my last trades of the match open and in-play. The problem being is that I was leaving myself open to what 22 blokes on the field did, rather than closing the trade pre-full time for a profit – no matter what the outcome.

In some cases I was actually being ‘greedy’ for a small percent extra of profit. This worked for a while, but as with all things it seems to have come crashing down in flames Thursday last week. I was in an open position on several of the Europa League matches and if you watched those matches, you will know that in three of them there was last minute goals – in injury time.

This saw me lose on three trades that I should have closed before the 90 minutes (strange things happen in injury time) for a profit. I then committed the cardinal sin of not learning my lesson. After all, I had been successful prior to these three ‘blips’ and therefore I decided to continue with the strategy of leaving the last trade (if I was involved near the end of normal time) open until the final whistle.

The weekend 31st March – 1st April (April Fool’s Day) saw my losing streak continue. The last match I traded was the Sporting Lisbon match late on Sunday evening. Again I was in a winning trade when Sporting Lisbon scored during the last moments of injury time. Once again I lost and lost big time.

I spent yesterday cursing the gods of chance, went through my daily sports trading logs for the period that I was trading profitably and then for the period that I was losing. It was glaringly obvious when going back through my logs what the difference was between profitable and losing days.

Sports Trading Diary Entry 11 030412

 As the thread in response to my post on there titled Football Trading – Starting Again… on the Geeks Toy forum stated by one of the regular contributors; ’That’s why I pull out towards the end. And as for football trading…’

Sound advice and I won’t be leaving my trades open at the end of the football match from now on.

I have once again started writing on the top of my printed off football trading logs ‘Trade NOT Gamble’ – not that I should need this advice, as I seem to keep slipping back to the old gambling ways, only to have my fingers burned and regret and vow not to do it again!

What is evident though, is how much I enjoy trading football on BetFair. It’s nice to have profitable trades, and now I have tasted that feeling of success, I plan to go back to it and repeat it as often as possible.

Tonight there are several Champions League matches – I have already traded on these pre-kick off and it would appear that I will be able to close my trades before the match actually starts for a few ticks of profit.

In fact if you read the above and concentrate on big matches, it is a ‘winning’ strategy that you can employ with little risk before the match actually goes in-play. The key with this is to if you are able, check the odds at around 9am on the day of the match, then check again at 10am. If the odds are moving in the same direction at 11am, I jump on and back looking to lay off pre kick off for a profit.

The above works for me around 90% of the time and I seem to be able to trade out for a scratch or small loss the other 10% of the time. In fact it’s so good that I should (if I was inclined that way) write a ebook or pdf on the football trading strategy and sell it on ebay or something!

I hope to be updating this football trading diary tomorrow with positive results, but for now my BetFair sports trading balance stands at £146.65

Sports Trading Diary Entry 11 030412

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Posted by FootballTrader - April 3, 2012 at 11:39 am

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Sports Trading Diary Entry 10 260312

Sports Trading Diary Entry 10 260312

Daily update of my sports trading progress.

This week has been a strange week football trading wise. I have continued football trading using the adapted football trading strategy that I started using at the back end of last week – the gains continue, although I have had a couple of stagnant days football trading wise due to me being on a course on Monday – continued below…

I started sports trading (mainly football matches) on Bet Fair at the beginning of February 2012.

Follow my progress in my daily (almost!) updated sports trading diary entries.

Firstly though, I missed out on a fabulous offer for new sports traders to get a free £25 bet – the first time they start sports trading on Bet Fair. So to make sure you don’t miss out on this wonderful offer;

Claim a risk free £25 free bet at Bet Fair, click Bet Fair £25 bet. Make sure when you join the site, that you use or see the code HU4XE6MTR in the relevant voucher area to get your risk free £25 bet.

If HU4XE6MTR doesn’t show in the relevant box when you are filling in the joining page, you might not get your £25 free bet and that would be a shame to miss eh?

Anyway, I attempted to describe this adapted football trading strategy to a friend at the weekend and the best I could come up with was; reduced risk gambling! Although, to be honest all football trading has it’s risks, as we are counting on 22 players who are kicking a bag of wind around not to muck things up for us, before we exit our football trade successfully!

I have also this week started testing a couple of BetFair Strategies and I will be reporting back with my findings on these as and when they prove to be profitable. To see the BetFair trading strategies check this link; BetFair Strategies.

Bet Angel

I also this week attended the ‘first day’ of the the Bet Angel sports trading course and had the pleasure of meeting Peter Webb – as well as other fellow sports traders on the course.

The course is held in Bet Angel‘s training room, situated at their offices in the village of Hook in Hampshire.

In Bet Angel’s comfortable air conditioned and well designed training room there is ample desk space for six students. Each desk is set on it’s own with perfect view of the speaker and projector / white board etc. Each desk has ample power plugs and when using your own laptop for various tasks it’s easy to connect to the Bet Angel wifi network.

Basically once per month Bet Angel offer a free morning’s course on sports trading; you can then if you wish pay an additional £59 to attend the afternoon session; which delves deeper into using the Bet Angel software. As you can imagine you need to contact Bet Angel to get your name down for the freebie sports trading course as places fill up pretty quickly.#

I had opted to pay and stay for the afternoon sports trading session. If you so desire you can attend a further course (usually the next day) for around £400 that goes into sports trading strategies using the Bet Angel trading software.

On the day I attended, out of six ‘students’ there was a bloke who’d flown over specially from Australia to attend both day’s sports trading courses; as well as two chaps from Ireland.

Apparently it’s not unusual to find people from all over the world on these two day sports trading training courses – which obviously adds additional credibility to Bet Angel‘s sports training course.

It quickly became apparent was that of the six of us attending the course, only two of us hadn’t chosen to do the second day. The other four sports traders all had booked into a local hotel for the night. I and the other guy (I think) by the end of the day wished we had done likewise!

I plan to complete the second day of the Bet Angel course as soon as possible. Take my advice if you can; choose to do both courses and don’t feel regret at the end of the first day that you’re not coming back for the second half tomorrow!

The first day’s course was led by a guy called Tim Leal, who described himself as a full time sports trader. The second day was going to be being led by Peter Webb. During the first day, Peter Webb popped in and out from his office adjoining, clarified any points that we might have been discussing or answered questions that we came up with during our lunch break.

Tim Leal spoke informatively and easily on the subject of sports trading. He went at the pace of the slowest person of the group, which was a good thing; as it gave everyone chance to come up to speed.

He also (as he taught) was logged into the training mode of Bet Angel trading software, which uses live data from BetFair and the information he was talking on was displayed on the projector screen and also on the vdu on each individual desk.

He also invited us to log in to our own computers, load up the Bet Angel trading software and set it to training mode and trade with him or watch results as we spoke – without of course the risk of losing any money!

All in all the £59 for the afternoon session of the Bet Angel training course was good value for money in my opinion. The free version would have been good for beginners, but in all honesty you’d want to stay for the afternoon part; as we’d barely scratched the surface of the sports trading topic – apart from the basic functions of the Bet Angel / Betfair trading interface.

When you also add in the fact that you get a free lunch as well, £59 is bloody good value in my opinion for the Bet Angel sports trading training course.

Sports Trading Diary Entry 10 260312

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Posted by FootballTrader - March 29, 2012 at 2:28 pm

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Sports Trading Diary Entry 9 260312

Sports Trading Diary Entry 8 260312

Daily update of my sports trading progress.

I started sports trading (mainly football matches) on Bet Fair at the beginning of February 2012.

Follow my progress in my daily (almost!) updated sports trading diary entries.

Firstly though, I missed out on a fabulous offer for new sports traders to get a free £25 bet – the first time they start sports trading on Bet Fair. So to make sure you don’t miss out on this wonderful offer;

Claim a risk free £25 free bet at Bet Fair, click Bet Fair £25 bet. Make sure when you join the site, that you use or see the code HU4XE6MTR in the relevant voucher area to get your risk free £25 bet.

If HU4XE6MTR doesn’t show in the relevant box when you are filling in the joining page, you might not get your £25 free bet and that would be a shame to miss eh?

Betting Profit & Loss 260312

So as far as an update of my daily sports trading diary is concerned for Monday 26th March 2012, it’s been a surreal weekend / start to the week.

I traded like a maniac on Saturday on most of the football matches up until 5pm. I then had a pre-arranged night out with mates, so called it quits.

The image at the top of the page is my Betting Profit and Loss for the 25th of March and the image on the left is what I’ve just taken from BetFair for the 26th March 2012.

I’ve included the Geeks Toy with the time and date and total in each, so there’s an independent reference. I know how some are disbelievers – myself included when I visit sites, it is after all only natural. So all I can say is that on the majority of the posts I have made on the football trading blog so far, I have attempted to include an image with more than two different independent references on it cut and pasted from my browser – even in the really ‘bad’ times a couple of weeks ago!

Anyway, today I went on one of the one day BetFair Trading course run by Bet Angel. The morning part of the course was a freebie and the afternoon part was paid at £59 or so. On the course was a wide variety of sports traders. One of whom had come all the way from Australia to do the course. He arrived on Saturday and is going home on Wednesday – the course actually had another day to it and was running again tomorrow, which I and one other newbie football trader hadn’t booked.

Tomorrow they are learning trading strategies using the Bet Angel trading software, which looked very interesting – I just need to get my head around what’s happened so far with the football trading using the techniques I seem to have discovered off my own steam, before completing the second day of the Bet Angel trading course which covers in-depth various trading strategies at some point in the future.

I’ll do a football trading post on the first part of the Bet Angel course that I have just completed, but for now my head feels like it’s going to explode, I’ve had a long drive in each direction – made even worse by the traffic round the M25 which is no doubt the ‘devil’s own satanic highway’, plus 6 hours of classroom time the likes of which for opportunity has got my mind working over time.

It has all somewhat done me in a bit!

That’s it for this sports trading diary update. I will post again once I have re-charged my batteries and tell you more about the Bet Angel course.

Sports Trading Diary Entry 8 260312

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Posted by FootballTrader - March 26, 2012 at 7:02 pm

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Best Day Football Trading So Far 23/03/2012

Best Day Football Trading So Far 23/03/2012

It’s late evening / just gone midnight and Saturday is now upon us… Just!

I’m doing this update because Friday 23rd of March 2012 was so far my best day Football Trading by a country mile. Not including the luck on the horses I had during Cheltenham week, which I posted about here; which doesn’t really count as that was down to pure luck on the horses after placing an accumulator on a few tips I’d heard about.

Today I really felt in the zone trading wise. I was doing what I always talk about doing – trading not gambling on the football, looking for 5% of my stake on each trade and exiting as soon as I had it and / or getting out within 5 minutes of entering the trade if the 5% didn’t materialise.

I started the day very badly indeed. I usually include an image in my posts with my current BetFair balance included in it – either direct cut from BetFair or via The Geeks Toy, so I can’t be accused of fibbing.

My BetFair football trading bank balance at the start of the day was £192.56 and the first two trades of the day resulted in losses. I usually trade with stakes of 10% or £10. When you lose and only have a small starting BetFair trading balance, it really hurts!

I thought the day was going to be one of those days… I sat in front of my computer and was between trades, so decided to flick through my rapidly growing old Sports Trading Log‘s, to see if there was something I was doing today that was different and maybe causing the problem.

It was then that I discovered after reading a few really early sports trading logs a strategy that I was using back at the beginning of February 2012. I realised that I hadn’t given this strategy a fair crack of the whip and even worse, hadn’t been using a decent staking plan, so the profits (and potential losses) didn’t make much sense when reading through it.

I decided to give this strategy another go today and blow me, I couldn’t seem to miss! I started trading with £5 stakes as I was unsure about it – I had after all abandoned it back in February and had a niggling feeling as to the reason why. But by my last trade a few moments ago, I had scaled up to £30 stakes in the space of a few hours…

Best Day Football Trading So Far 23032012

Take a look at the image to the left and you’ll see my BetFair account and The Geek’s Toy interface with time/date and BetFair trading balance.

If you click the image it will open up much larger in a window- but don’t forget to click back on your browser to come back to this post! 

You will also see a list of trades from the last couple of hours of today’s trading. I managed to clock up 74 Football Trades in total today… Wowser!

I also on top of the Football Trading had a small amount of success today with two £1 each way accumulators on the horses.

Unfortunately one horse in each accumulator let me down and came second, which is a shame as the payout on the win side of the accumulator would have been fab! But it added another few quid to my BetFair trading balance by doing the same thing I usually do day in and day out on the gee-gees, as I know completely nothing about horse racing!

When messing around with the horse races I usually only bet on accumulators. I go to the multiples section of BetFair, pick Horses and then pick GB. I then go through the meetings and look at the top three horses in each race. If the horse stands out to me for whatever reason above the other two, I add it to my multiple – that’s about it, no science, checking chicken gizzards, which way the wind is blowing or anything like that!

I have used this accumulator method for a while and I seem to get a fair return. A mate told me that I’d be better sticking the £2 on win, instead of splitting it like I do and putting a pound on win and a pound on each way. But I seem to generally at least get my stake back and this bet is just a bit of fun for me.

Anyway, back to the Football Trading… I started Friday the 23rd of March 2012 with a BetFair trading balance of £192.56 and ended it with £428.62! A whopping profit of £236.06… Don’t tell the wife, she’ll want another cut!

I shall obviously be carrying on with the football trading strategy that I have used today and add it to my list of potential trades for each match I look at. Of course it may just have been luck today that the criteria for this strategy was met on a large number of matches; but I’ll keep you posted and fingers crossed that this one is the ‘golden goose’!

Best Day Football Trading So Far 23/03/2012

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Posted by FootballTrader - March 24, 2012 at 2:33 am

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Sports Trading Diary Entry 8 230312

Sports Trading Diary Entry 8 230312

Daily update of my sports trading progress.

I started sports trading (mainly football matches) on Bet Fair at the beginning of February 2012.

Follow my progress in my daily (almost!) updated sports trading diary entries.

Firstly though, I missed out on a fabulous offer for new sports traders to get a free £25 bet – the first time they start sports trading on Bet Fair. So to make sure you don’t miss out on this wonderful offer;

Claim a risk free £25 free bet at Bet Fair, click Bet Fair £25 bet. Make sure when you join the site, that you use or see the code HU4XE6MTR in the relevant voucher area to get your risk free £25 bet.

If HU4XE6MTR doesn’t show in the relevant box when you are filling in the joining page, you might not get your £25 free bet and that would be a shame to miss eh?

It’s been a couple of days since I updated the Sports Trading Diary, although I made a post to this section and gave you access to my Sports Trading Log, which is a spread sheet that you can download and then adjust to meet your needs; to record details of each individual football or sports trade that you get involved in, add notes, etc.

I have also continued to update daily the in-play football coupon, which you can cut and paste the day’s fixtures from into the Sports Trading Log directly – I do this on a daily basis and have the football fixtures in a format that fits the Sports Trading Log perfectly, so it seems a shame for me to waste the time taken to do this and not post it up on here for everyone to use eh?

Anyway, financially I seem to have been treading water since my last post. I think I signed off with £190.31 on Tuesday and today I have £192.56. So a small profit of £2.35 – although I have had a couple of days worth of fun trading in-between, I don’t seem to have much to show for it!

I would have had even less, had I not been extremely lucky with a trade early this morning… I work from home and sometimes the work I do requires me to work odd hours and pull all nighters when the work load is high. Last night / early hours of this morning was one such example of this and as I was working, I was also trading on the football matches being played in South America.

I have a ‘thing’ about the style of play in South America. Football seems to be played at pace and with huge skill in the countries below the equator on the Americas. I particulary have a soft spot for some reason for a team in Mexico called Club de Fútbol Jaguares de Chiapas or The Jaguars in English.

This team has been pretty lucky for me this last few weeks and I seem to have developed a soft spot for them and have been following their games and progress in the Mexican Premier Division… Ahem! I also think it’s funny that they’re sponsored currently by Sol and are the first football team to replace their names on their shirts with their Twitter nicknames!

Anyway, last night (early hours of this morning) I was beavering away on a project and had the live football scores on in the background with an audible alert set, so I would be notified of any goals in any of the matches being played.

The whistle sound alerted me to a player being sent off and I switched screens to see that The Jaguars had had a player sent off in their game against Pachuca CF in the first two minutes of the match. I switched over to BetFair to see if this match was being played ‘live’ in the BetFair live video feed, and sure enough it was; so I reduced the size of the video feed screen so I could have it overlaying the computer screen I was currently working on on my laptop and watch the match whilst I worked.

Jaguares v Pachuca

Now as I said, I have a soft spot for The Jaguars and ten or so minutes after they had a player sent off, they scored a goal. I decided to have a punt on them… Naughty, naughty I know.

Then bugger me ten minutes later they only went and scored a second goal, so I doubled up my initial bet and ended up backing them with £20 to win, expecting to lay it off and trade out once the market settled down for a nice profit.

Anyway, the law of sod comes in to play and for some reason BetFair goes down and I can’t trade out because the dreaded ‘SUSPENDED’ sign appears.

I then start to sweat (and swear) a bit, as I’ve backed a team with ten players, against another team at a similar position in the league who’ve still got 11 players… Of course the law of sod plays out fully and Pachuca CF go on to score a goal late in the first half. So it’s now 2:1 with The Jaguars winning but with ten men and the suspended sign still displaying.

It gets to half time and still no sign of the suspended marker coming off, so I go out to the kitchen for a cup of tea and a smoke to try and relax. When I come back (after longer than expected, but the suspended sign had been on for most of the first half and I’d resigned myself to having to see the match out without being able to trade out) I find that the second half has started and Pachuca CF are going for it big time and still no sign of the Suspended sign coming off.

The Suspended sign finally comes off and I’m trying to trade out, but of course the world and his wife is also trying to trade out as well; then Pachuca CF score an equalizer… Bloody sods law!

What happens next is the most amazing game of football that I’ve had the privilege of watch for a very long time. It would appear that both teams decide that they can win the match and go hell to leather playing attacking end to end football. The Jaguars with ten men against Pachuca CF with eleven. The Jaguars coming very close to taking the lead again but missing a couple of real sitters.

I resign myself to not being able to trade out. The lay figure would give me about 30p and I might as well gamble the 30p as I’ve already lost the lion’s share of my twenty quid. Then at 81 minutes in and with me resigned to losing my £20 The Jaguars take the lead again with a superb goal… The odds stay the same for ages and for some reason I find that I’ve backed them again with another tenner!

I then have a nerve racking few minutes whilst Pachuca CF and the fourth official who gives an extra 4 minutes of added time attempt to conspire against me (and The Jaguars) and equalize again.

Thankfully the gods of BetFair are on my side and The Jaguars manage to see out the rest of the match and give me a nice £23 profit on top of the whole experience.

Would I repeat it again? My head says no, and had it not been for the Suspended sign appearing for some unknown reason I wouldn’t have gone through it the first time. But then again I’d have missed out on the £23 odd profit.

Repeat after me the mantra ‘Trade, Not Gamble. 5% or 5 minutes maximum’

That’s it for this Football Trading Diary update – check the image in the middle of the post for proof of what I’ve written. It’ll enlarge to full size if you click it…

Sports Trading Diary Entry 8 230312

Be the first to comment - What do you think?
Posted by FootballTrader - March 23, 2012 at 7:36 am

Categories: Sports Trading, Trading Journal   Tags: , 01042012 hoffenheım schalke, 17 may 2012, , , 8.05.2012 maccabi haifa ir letzion resultat, aik soccer te score, aik u21 v gefle u21 match abandoned, aik u21 v gefle u21 match abandoned what happenes to my bet, bet angel basic, betfair live video how keep on screen, daejon scoreline 280512, ergebniss rampla juniors reserve, favourite In-play Trading strategy, Final score between Viking R U19 vs Stjarnan U19, fk krasnodar shirt for sale, , , , , geeks toy charging, geeks toy training mode balance, hapoel tel aviv fc u19 score, hapoel tel aviv ms ashdod 17 maggio 2012, hapoel tel aviv u19, Hapoel tel aviv U19 result, hapoel tel aviv u19 v ms ashdod u19 results, hapoel tel aviv u19 v ms ashdod u19 today result, Hapoel tel aviv u19 vs ms ashdod, hapoel tel aviv u19 vs ms ashdod u19 yesterday result, Hapoel Tel Aviv Youth v MS Ashdod Youth Under, hapoel u19 vs ashdod u19, haukar fc log position, haukar fc-thor ak 26 may, , ibv 27 march viking reyk, ibv u19 fixtures, Kitche-arema malang, kode referral betfair may, KR Reykjavik (V) - HK Vikingur (Women transfer market, Live scoor arema vs kitchen united, maccabi tel aviv u19 vs ms ashdod u19 who won on 17th may, rejkvic, , resultat hapoel tel aviv u19, reykjavic u19 results, reykjavik u 19, reykjavik u19 fixtures, reykjavik u19 from u19 men football, reykjavik u19-, senica v zilina u19 tips football, , soccer trading course, , , , , , tim link tran bate borisov fc slavia mozyr, , transfer screen direct arema malang vs kelantan, vestmannaeyjar - stjarnan score gess, viking reykjavik fc, viking reykjavik fc u19, , viking. reykjavik u19, vikings reykjavik fc, vikingur reykjavik u19 fixtures

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